Tag: Inflation

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Has Just Been Released: What It Means for the Markets

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the key metric used to estimate inflation in the United States, has just been released. The fate of the markets often hinges on US inflation figures, and therefore on the CPI data published today. In this article, we’ll explore what the CPI is, why it matters, and examine the latest figures.

What Does CPI Mean?

Technically, the CPI (Consumer Price Index) is a fundamental economic indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services typically purchased by consumers. In other words, it tells us how much more (or less) it costs to live today compared to the past.

The CPI is calculated by collecting price data on a representative “basket” of goods and services that consumers commonly buy. This basket includes a variety of essential products, such as food, clothing, housing, transportation, education, healthcare, and other everyday necessities. The US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) collects prices monthly across 75 urban areas and compares them with previous periods.

Why Is It Important?

The CPI is used to measure inflation, which indicates the rate at which the cost of living is rising. If the CPI increases, it means that prices are rising, and, on average, people need to spend more to maintain their standard of living.

Bitcoin and the CPI: What’s the connection?

Over the past week, Bitcoin has repeatedly broken ATHs (all‑time highs), although between Monday 14 and Tuesday 15 the price eased slightly, stabilising—so far—around USD 117 000. There’s no clear driver behind this rally, but some analysts believe the upward surge is essentially speculative anticipation of potential future interest‑rate cuts. In any event, as BTC climbed from USD 112 000 to USD 119 000, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a record daily inflow of USD 1 billion.

Putting these capital flows aside, today’s CPI release is significant because it could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest‑rate decisions at the next FOMC meeting (29–30 July). A lower CPI would suggest easing inflation, which might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting rates. Rate cuts typically encourage inflows into risk‑on assets such as equities and Bitcoin. As such, linking Bitcoin and the CPI is more an indirect correlation: investors view the CPI as a barometer for anticipating Fed action.

The last time it happened

When the Fed maintained rates at May levels around mid‑June (17–18 June), Bitcoin’s price barely reacted—because the outcome was widely expected. Indeed, Chair Jerome Powell has conditioned markets to expect a cautious “wait and see” approach: “the Fed will continue to monitor incoming data in line with its dual mandate, namely high employment and low inflation”. Economic uncertainties, particularly around tariffs and geopolitical tensions, remain elevated even if somewhat diminished.

In this context, the Consumer Price Index becomes an essential tool for understanding inflation trends and making informed decisions. A stable or declining CPI could foster a less uncertain economic climate, helping to reduce volatility in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Analysis of July 2025 CPI data

On 15 July 2025, the BLS published June 2025 CPI figures. According to the report, monthly CPI rose compared to the previous month, as well as the annual CPI, now at 2.7%, up from 2.4% in June. This figure is significant because year‑on‑year inflation is 2,7%, moving further away the Fed’s 2% target. Naturally, the closer inflation is to the target, the more likely a rate cut becomes.

What do these figures mean?

A MoM change of 0.2% and a YoY change of 0.3% indicates that inflation is rising. The outcome aligns with expectations and reflects forecasts, which had predicted 2,7% YoY. What remains uncertain is how the Fed will respond on interest rates at the FOMC meeting on 29–30 July.

2025 CPI Historical Data
Here’s how the CPI has performed in the early months of 2025:

• July 2025: 2,7 % (forecast 2.7 %)
• June 2025: 2.4% (forecast: 2.5%)
• May 2025: 2.3% (forecast: 2.4%)
• April 2025: 2.4% (forecast: 2.5%)
• March 2025: 2.8% (forecast: 2.9%)
• February 2025: 3.0% (forecast: 2.9%)
• January 2025: 2.9% (forecast: 2.9%)

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Inizia ora

Discover the ranking of the poorest countries in the world for 2024 based on GDP per capita. Explore the challenges and conditions these nations face.

One of the most common metrics used to examine the poorest countries in the world is GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita. This figure represents the average economic output per person in a given country and is a crucial indicator of financial health. 

A low GDP per capita often correlates with challenging living conditions characterised by fragile economies, high unemployment rates, and inadequate infrastructure. Moreover, these nations frequently grapple with internal conflicts and political instability, further hindering their development.

However, GDP per capita alone does not fully capture the economic well-being of a country’s citizens, as it overlooks disparities in the cost of living. GDP,  combined with issues such as low education levels, endemic diseases, and limited access to healthcare, these factors create environments where economic development is nearly impossible, leading to harsh living conditions. Below, we delve into the poorest countries in the world as of 2024 and the primary issues they face.

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The poorest countries in the world: 2024 ranking

Per stimare quali sono i paesi più poveri del mondo di solito ci si basa sui dati forniti dal Fondo Monetario Internazionale (FMI).

Nella maggior parte degli stati che trovi in questo articolo è molto difficile accedere ai servizi finanziari, anche a quelli standard come l’apertura di un conto bancario. Per questo motivo sono sempre di più i cittadini che si affidano a Bitcoin o ad altre criptovalute. Questa tecnologia coincide con un modo nuovo, e per molti l’unico, di gestire il proprio denaro e salutare per sempre lo status di unbanked. Se ti interessa questo tema e vuoi saperne di più puoi scaricare la nostra app.

The following ranking of the poorest countries is based on data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In many of these countries, access to essential financial services is minimal, with many citizens turning to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as a new way to manage their money, often as their only viable option.

This technology represents a new, and for many, the only way to manage their money and say goodbye to being unbanked. Suppose you’re interested in the opportunities cryptocurrencies offer as cross-border funds independent of governments or banks. In that case, you can buy, sell, and send cryptocurrencies on Young Platform, a leading European platform.

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1. Sudan del Sud

GDP per Capita: ~$450

South Sudan, the world’s poorest country, gained independence in 2011 but has been plagued by civil conflicts that have hindered economic and social development. Despite its vast oil reserves, South Sudan suffers from the “resource curse,” where wealth in natural resources leads to corruption, division, and conflict instead of prosperity.

2. Burundi

GDP per Capita: ~$900

Unlike South Sudan, Burundi lacks significant natural resources. The civil war that ended in 2005 left the country in dire straits, with most of its population dependent on subsistence agriculture. Less than 5% of the population has access to electricity, and inflation (an average of 14%, but it touched 30% in 2023) remains a significant issue, contributing to the erosion of living standards.

3. Central African Republic (CAR)

GDP per Capita: ~$500

The CAR is rich in natural resources like gold, oil, uranium, and diamonds, yet its people remain among the poorest globally. Since its first democratic election in 2016, the country has seen some growth, driven by timber, agriculture, and the diamond trade. However, much of the nation remains under the control of armed groups, hindering development. Growth in recent years has shown a moderate recovery, driven by the lumber industry, recovery in the agricultural sector, and partial recovery in the diamond trade.

4. Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 

GDP per Capita: ~$1,500

Since gaining independence from Belgium in 1960, the DRC has experienced political instability and violence. Despite its vast mineral wealth and potential to become one of Africa’s wealthiest countries, about 65% of the population lives on less than $2.15 a day. The country has a population of 100 million, with the average per capita income hovering around $1,500 annually. However, according to the World Bank, the DRC has the resources and potential to become one of Africa’s richest countries and a growth engine for the entire continent. It is currently the world’s largest producer of cobalt and the leading copper exporter in Africa, two essential elements for the electric vehicle market.

5. Mozambique

GDP per Capita: ~$1,200

While rich in resources and strategically located, Mozambique continues to face poverty due to political instability and adverse climatic conditions. Despite these challenges, the IMF projects strong economic growth driven by the energy sector. To make matters worse, the gas-rich northern part of the country has been hit by attacks by Islamic insurgent groups since 2017. Despite this, according to the IMF, the economy remains booming: it is projected to grow by 5% in 2024 and 2025, with prospects for double-digit growth in the second half of the 2020s.

6. Niger

GDP per Capita: ~$500

Niger is heavily threatened by desertification, with 80% of its territory covered by the Sahara Desert. The rapid population growth outpaces agricultural production, worsening food insecurity. Additionally, ongoing conflicts with Boko Haram exacerbate the nation’s instability.

In 2021, with the election of the new president Mohamed Bazoum, a former teacher and interior minister, Niger experienced its first democratic transition of power and seemed poised for significant change. However, in the summer of 2023, Bazoum was captured by some members of his presidential guard, and since then, a military junta has ruled the country.

7. Malawi

GDP per Capita: ~$600

Malawi is seventh on the list of the poorest countries in the world. Its economy, heavily dependent on agriculture, is vulnerable to climate change and food insecurity. The government faces a severe economic crisis marked by fuel shortages, rising food prices, and currency devaluation.

8. Liberia

GDP per Capita: ~$600

Liberia, Africa’s oldest republic, has been among the world’s poorest nations for years. However, Joseph Boakai’s election in 2023 offers some hope for economic recovery, with growth projected to reach 5.3% in 2024.

9. Madagascar

GDP per Capita: ~$450

Since gaining independence from France in 1960, Madagascar has experienced political instability, contested elections, and slow economic growth. Despite high poverty rates and an inflation rate of nearly 8%, the current government under Andry Rajoelina, reelected in 2023, continues to struggle with widespread poverty.

How limited mobility hinders economic growth in Africa’s poorest countries

Limited mobility has a profound impact on economic growth, particularly for African countries that already struggle with poverty. According to research by Prof. Mehari Taddele Maru, African nations top the list of Schengen visa rejections, with around 30% of African applicants being denied compared to just 10% worldwide. 

This stark disparity highlights how restricted access to international travel further marginalizes the poorest countries, making it harder for individuals to seek better opportunities, engage in global trade, or even gain exposure to new skills and ideas. 

The high rejection rates are particularly pronounced in the poorest African countries, creating a vicious cycle where limited mobility exacerbates economic stagnation. With the ability to move freely, these nations can overcome significant barriers to growth, as their citizens can participate in the global economy, seek education abroad, or build international business connections.

You might be interested in The Most Powerful Passport: 2024 Global Rankings.

Conclusion

The ranking of the poorest countries in the world highlights the severe economic challenges many nations face. However, despite these difficulties, there is potential for future growth in these countries, with natural and human resources that, if properly harnessed, could significantly improve living conditions. Stay tuned for more insights if you’re interested in learning more about these countries’ global economic challenges and development efforts.

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