Tag: Bitcoin

Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, surpassing $71,000. What are the three leading causes?

Bitcoin has officially recorded a new all-time high (ATH). A few minutes ago, it hit the $71,627 level.

This term describes the maximum value Bitcoin touches or, in general, any asset. What has happened in recent weeks is anomalous. Bitcoin has never reached a new all-time high before halving during past cycles, coming in less than fifty days.

How is it possible that Bitcoin has now reached this new record high? Given that a year ago, its value was more than three times lower than it is today. Here are the three main reasons

Bitcoin’s historical high: the causes

Identifying all the causes of Bitcoin’s unexpected all-time high is a daunting challenge. While it is much easier to find the main ones, the question to build on to understand the economic context in which to place the crypto’s recent bullish rally is: Why did Bitcoin record a new all-time high? And more importantly, why did it reach this milestone before the next halving?

1. The approval of spot ETFs

The first reason is apparent. From 11 January onwards, Bitcoin has entered the Olympus of assets. The approval of spot ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has incredibly boosted the crypto’s status, making it attractive even to those who have not delved into its technology. Most institutional investors, historically antagonistic to BTC, have re-evaluated it and finally understand its potential. 

However, if we analyse what has happened from an economic point of view, the situation is even more evident. Right now, there is an imbalance between supply and demand, which favours the former. Thanks to their ETFs, funds are buying vast amounts of Bitcoin daily, while issues remain stable and will halve with the halving of April.

2. Halving 2024

The second reason relates to the event that all crypto enthusiasts have been waiting for. In past cycles, this has always preceded Bitcoin’s new all-time high, but this time, everything is different. How come? It’s impossible to say for sure, but what happened could be connected to the approval of ETFs.

Usually, halving was, for many, an ‘excuse’ to return to crypto after months in which most investors ignored it due to the bear market‘s bearish price movements. This time, however, in part, the interest has come early, attracted by significant American funds.

3. A virtuous bear market

The third and final reason is related to the bear market. The strong growth that Bitcoin and the crypto world, in general, have experienced in the last period is also the result of the work done in the previous two years. You know, there is no better time to build new solutions or improve existing ones than when prices fall and the euphoria disappears.

Over the past few months, many technological innovations have been born (or improved) on Bitcoin. Some are more controversial and divisive, such as Ordinals and BRC 20 tokens; others, such as Layer 2, are universally considered necessary. The other ecosystems, e.g. Cosmos, Ethereum and Solana, have also renewed themselves, trying to improve above all from the point of view of ease of use. A historical weakness for this sector.

As mentioned, these are not all the causes contributing to Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high. How not to mention the considerable interest in artificial intelligence and the consequent rise in the share price of technology companies, e.g., Nvidia? Or the imminent end of quantitative tightening policies, and thus the likely cut in interest rates in the coming months. 

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The approval for Bitcoin spot ETFs has finally arrived. Here’s everything you need to know. When will trading begin?

The Bitcoin spot ETFs have been approved over six months since BlackRock’s approval request, followed by those of many significant American investment funds.

A few minutes ago, the SEC announced that these financial instruments meet the guidelines. Here are all the details on the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETFs. When will trading of these financial instruments begin, and what will happen to the price of BTC?

Impacts of the approval

The approval of the Bitcoin spot ETFs, widely anticipated in recent months, has finally arrived today, January 10, 2024.

The SEC has approved the applications of ARK 21Shares, Invesco Galaxy, VanEck, WisdomTree, Fidelity, Valkyrie, BlackRock, Grayscale, Bitwise, Hashdex, and Franklin Templeton. The document is available on the SEC’s website.

New institutional players will now be able to offer Bitcoin to their clients, radically changing the perception of the leading cryptocurrency and the entire sector. This development opens up new possibilities based on a more robust image and a positive perception from the general public. Inevitably, the rest of the crypto industry will benefit from this change and the exposure to a new public segment, introducing alternative dynamics.

The crypto world expects the most significant influx of capital in its history. According to some estimates, between 100 and 300 billion dollars could enter the market in the next four years thanks to these financial instruments. If this happens, the impact on the price of Bitcoin will be, to say the least, explosive.

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Why you should consider buying Bitcoin regularly explained in 3 charts

Buying Bitcoin through recurring purchases is cheaper than spot buying by constantly looking for the perfect moment to enter the market (spoiler: it does not exist). We’re going to show you this with three charts: you’ll see that the drawdown is lower, as is the volatility and average price. Recurring purchasing is the most effective strategy to set aside Bitcoin regularly and automatically and you can set it up in your Moneybox. 

We ran a simulation based on historical market data on the price of BTC, and imagined a recurring purchase of €50 in Bitcoin per week from January 2020 to March 2023. Here are our results. 

A positive performance for 80% of the period 

Maybe you have some regrets about 2020 spent on the couch in your pyjamas… Today we add to the list not having set up a recurring purchase on the Moneybox. If you had decided to spend €50 per week to buy Bitcoin automatically now your situation would be as described by this chart. 

Here you can see the value your wallet would have had in March 2023. The yellow line indicates the total amount spent to buy BTC, the green line is the value of your holdings (+22.5%). The moneybox represented by the graph was in the positive for 86.2% of the time considered. With the best performance at +71.43 and the worst at -30.77%. 

Wouldn’t it have been cheaper to buy Bitcoin at its lows instead of at any time? If you have this doubt, read the results of this research which shows that there is actually no such thing as the ‘perfect moment’. Predicting market movements is not for everyone, recurring buying removes this difficulty and still leads to good results. 

Even in a bear market the losses are smaller

In this second graph, the blue line shows the price of BTC from March 2022 to March 2023, the green line the percentage return (profit and loss) of the holder that chose to buy Bitcoin with recurring purchases. 

According to the analysed data, the drawdown, i.e. the maximum loss that can occur in a time interval, is smaller compared to that of a single purchase. In the period considered, from the beginning of March last year with BTC at $45,000 to March 2023, there would have been a maximum drawdown of 20% compared to the -64% recorded by the price of Bitcoin. In short, the recurring buyer would be in profit by 16% after one year. 

The savings are obvious

In these times of inflation, saving money is becoming a mission for most people. If you are looking for a way to buy Bitcoin while optimising your spending, recurring purchasing is again an option you might consider. Let’s look at the third chart. 

The blue line shows the price of BTC from January 2020 to January 2023, while the red line shows the average price paid to buy Bitcoin with recurring purchases. Considering that the cryptocurrency has a bullish trend over large time intervals, the result is that with recurring purchases over the long term, you can get a very good average purchase price compared to the market value. In January 2022 buying spot would have been around $5,000, with recurring buying instead less than $2,000. This is not because there are different prices in the same period, but because the price of the recurring purchase averages out all levels by also including purchases made when the cryptocurrency was at its lowest. 

Again you may ask yourself if buying at lows is not the best thing to do, theoretically the answer is yes. But again ‘lows’ are not easy to predict, so buying on a regular basis is a good trade-off to avoid fretting over ‘impromptu’ market analysis and instead buy Bitcoin conveniently. 

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*The information in this article is for educational purposes and is not an incentive to invest. It is based on historical and objective Bitcoin market data, charts do not represent future predictions. The performance of any cryptocurrency wallet is always subject to market conditions and volatility. 

Research compares Bitcoin and traditional financial assets in the fight against inflation

How to hedge against inflation? A legitimate question given the recent trend in consumer prices. Well, Bitcoin turns out to be an effective hedge against inflation according to research from 2022 published in Axioms, an international academic journal supported by The European Society for Fuzzy Logic and Technology (EUSFLAT), International Fuzzy Systems Association (IFSA) and Union of Slovak Mathematicians and Physicists (JSMF). 

In this article we will explain why:

• Bitcoin is the asset that responds better than other safe haven assets in both stable and turbulent market times; 
• Recurring buying (or DCA) is the best strategy to enter a market (whatever its trend may be); 

Hedging against inflation? Bitcoin beats the competition

In the economic climate in which we live, characterised by rising prices and stagnating wages, it is legitimate to try to understand how to hedge against inflation. And thus protect our savings. 

The research entitled “Do Bitcoin and Traditional Financial Assets Act as an Inflation Hedge during Stable and Turbulent Markets? Evidence from High Cryptocurrency Adoption Countries‘, compares the effectiveness of different strategies and instruments to combat inflation using those with high cryptocurrency adoption as sample countries. 

In summary, what has emerged is that Bitcoin is better protected against inflationary shocks than other traditional assets such as shares, gold and oil.

On Young Platform with the ‘Recurring Purchase‘ feature you can set aside Bitcoins automatically and with an amount and frequency of your choice.

What is inflation? 

When wondering how to hedge against inflation, it is worth making a few conceptual clarifications. Inflation refers to the increase in the prices of the goods and services we buy every day, which leads to a reduction in the purchasing power of money. In other words, we can buy fewer things with our savings than in the past. 

For example, in the US in 1980 going to the cinema cost only $2.89, in 2019 the average price of a ticket increased to $9.16! So with a $10 note in 1980 we would have bought 3 tickets, but today only 1. 

Solutions against inflation 

You may have heard that one of the most effective solutions to respond to rising prices is to invest ‘in bricks and mortar’. For a long time, real estate has been a safe haven for our savings, but it is not always a viable option for those who are perhaps younger and do not have much liquidity. 

In any case, this option reminds us that the important thing is to defend our own savings by converting them into an asset that is more resilient than money, whose value is maintained over time, such as a safe haven asset. This is because keeping your earnings ‘under the mattress’ does not bring results in the long term, as they gradually lose their value due to inflation.  

Investors try to hedge against inflation by buying assets that increase in value when prices rise, such as shares in companies that produce commodities or raw materials. Other examples are gold and oil. In short, the rule applies: investing is better than saving. 

Beyond gold and oil: how to hedge against inflation with Bitcoin 

Are gold, stocks and oil really the only ways to hedge against inflation? There are those who advocate relying on Bitcoin, but can it work as a hedge? At first it is difficult to answer this question with certainty. After all, Bitcoin is a new asset that needs to be studied in its own right, in relation to its target market. 

The analysis presented by Axioms experts tries to answer this doubt. See the results. 

First, it is noted that in order to assess how well an asset can hedge against inflation, several factors must be taken into account. Such as inflation trends over time and the national territories studied. Which in the case of this research are 10.  

In short, there are some assets that can offer protection in the short to medium term, such as Bitcoin, gold, stocks or oil. For the long term things get complicated, the levels of effectiveness against inflation are more heterogeneous and it is not easy to find a better and definitive asset.

However, Bitcoin seems to be an attractive option for countries with high cryptocurrency adoption. In times of increased economic turbulence, Bitcoin is the asset that statically responds best to market downturns. But what does this mean for investors?

To avoid inflation, you should consider leveraging BTC to create a hedge during a market downturn or when asset prices respond to inflation more quickly.  

Secondly, research results show that Bitcoin is the most effective inflation hedging instrument for most countries, both in stable and turbulent economic regimes. With a peak especially in countries with less resilient economies. This could be an advantage that every government should consider when developing cryptocurrency regulations.

What is the best strategy? 

To hedge against inflation, however, it is not enough to choose the right asset, this must be combined with a strategy. That of regularity. 

The analysis conducted by the Charles Schwab Corporation, a US investment firm that manages over $7 trillion in assets for its clients, compares five investor profiles and calculates their performance over five years, assuming each has $2,000 to invest each year. 

Here is the result: in first place is the trader who – by preparation or luck – chooses the timing perfectly and buys at the correct time. They are followed in second and third place by those who invested the $2,000 every year in one lump sum and those who broke it up into 12 installments and entered regularly every month. Closing the ranking with the worst results are those who bought at the wrong time – driven by FOMO or through extreme bad luck – and those who did nothing and obstinately kept their liquidity on their savings account. 

The good news is that for ordinary mortals who are not traders or do not feel kissed by luck, there are great opportunities to get the most out of their investments through regularity. That is, by regularly buying a certain asset. This strategy is called recurring buying or (DCA). 

Sticking to the terms of the analysis, if we had bought €25 worth of Bitcoin once a week for 5 years, as of today (March 2023) we would have €6,925 in Bitcoin but with a portfolio value of €15,803, i.e. a net gain of €8,800 (+128%). 

Conclusions 

In summary, those who are trying to figure out how to hedge against inflation should keep in mind that no asset can offer complete protection in the long run. But assets like Bitcoin can be a good option in the short to medium term. In any case, it is always important to pay attention to asset selection and the timing of investments.

***

*This article was written on the basis of research published in Axioms, an international, peer-reviewed, open-access academic journal covering mathematics, mathematical logic and mathematical physics, published monthly online by MDPI. Aximos is supported by The European Society for Fuzzy Logic and Technology (EUSFLAT), International Fuzzy Systems Association (IFSA) and Union of Slovak Mathematicians and Physicists (JSMF). To read the full research, download the PDF at this link.  

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The price of Bitcoin has grown exponentially over the years, what have been the main milestones in its history?

The history of Bitcoin’s price has been quite eventful, marked by both bullish and bearish periods. From its inception in 2008 to the present day, several significant events have influenced its value and performance. Do you know the history of Bitcoin’s price from 2008 to the present? What events have most influenced its value and the cryptocurrency’s performance?

What was the launch price of Bitcoin?

At the beginning of its history, when Bitcoin was created, cryptocurrency exchanges did not yet exist, so users, in order to sell or buy BTC, had to agree among themselves to establish its value by engaging in a real negotiation. The value of a crypto is determined by its conversion into fiat currency. Since transactions at the time were only done through peer-to-peer exchanges, it is impossible to trace the exact price of Bitcoin at the time of its launch.

However, we know how much BTC was worth when it was first converted into dollars on 12 October 2009. On that day, a user known on the ‘Bitcointalk’ forum under the pseudonym ‘New Liberty Standard’ bought 1,309 BTC for one dollar. Dividing one dollar by the number of BTC the user bought, we can say that the price of Bitcoin started at around $0.0009. Today, the value of the cryptocurrency is about 70 million times its initial value. 

So, let’s examine the main stages in Bitcoin’s price history to understand how it established itself and what difficulties it has faced.

From Bitcoin Pizza Day to the birth of the first exchanges (2009-2012)

In 2009, Bitcoin was a niche technology, a phenomenon linked to a subculture of computer engineering and had no real market. The first time it was used to purchase a ‘real world’ asset was on 22 May 2010; on that day, a user on the Bitcointalk forum bought two pizzas from the American fast food restaurant Papa John’s for 10,000 BTC. This event, dubbed ‘Pizza Day’, has become a real holiday that crypto enthusiasts remember yearly. 

2010 also saw the birth of BitcoinMarket.com, a rudimentary website that allowed its users to exchange BTC, which shut down the following year. In 2011, however, the crypto world’s first exchange was launched: Mt.Gox. The birth of Mt.Gox drew attention to cryptocurrency by making it easier to buy. In February 2011, the price of Bitcoin reached $1, while in July of the same year, one BTC was already worth $15.

From 2012 to 2015: the first bull market and the Mt.Gox hack

2012 was a bad year for the Bitcoin price story. From the high of $15 touched in July 2011, the value of BTC fell dramatically to $3, a zone on the chart in which it was caged until the beginning of 2013. With the new year, however, the cryptocurrency changed gears completely, thanks to a great wave of interest in the sector. The first crypto bull market in history had begun!

In 2013, the price of Bitcoin rose from $12 to $1,000, driven by some Chinese institutional investors and companies that started accepting it as a payment method.

But then came the first crypto bear market in history, coinciding with the hacker attack suffered by Mt.Gox on 24 February 2014. Then, during the summer of 2015, when some institutional investors, such as Goldman Sachs and Nasdaq, approached these new technologies, the market rebounded. 

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On 30 July 2015, Ethereum was launched through an ICO, and a new bullish phase began for Bitcoin’s price, around $400.

2016 to 2021: the second halving and COVID-19

The second halving on 9 July 2016 breathed new life into the price of Bitcoin, which had already started its upward movement in the summer of 2015. The bull market of 2017 was explosive. From the $1,000 zone, it was in January BTC reached $20,000 by the end of the year. In that period, media interest in cryptocurrencies grew considerably: the first ETF on Bitcoin was approved in the United States, the Chinese government regulated crypto trading, and several companies, including Microsoft and Dell, chose to accept BTC as a payment method.

In 2018, Bitcoin’s value plummeted from a high of $20,000 to $3,000, stabilising at around $3,700 at the end of the year. 2019, the year in which the cryptocurrency’s 10th anniversary was celebrated, was also not good due to the failure of the exchange Quadriga CX and a hacker attack on Binance. Bitcoin’s price in 2019 fluctuated between $3,000 and $14,000, changing direction several times. 

In 2020, the crypto market shone again, thanks mainly to the decentralised finance applications (DeFi) born on Ethereum. The collapse of Bitcoin’s price that occurred at the same time as the start of the COVID-19 pandemic was absorbed quickly. A few days later, the bull market began, taking the crypto’s value to a time high of $68,800. This period also saw the emergence of NFTs, which further boosted the whole sector.

The bear market of 2022: industry failures, inflation and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict?

Then, in 2021, after Bitcoin hit $68,000, the crypto market was hit by a series of internal negative events, such as the collapse of the Earth-Moon ecosystem and the bankruptcy of FTX. But also external: the macroeconomic crisis caused by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and inflation. 

These episodes also affected the value of the cryptocurrency, which reached its peak at $15,000.

From 2023 to the present: the resurrection of the crypto market

With the beginning of 2023, and thus during the last phase of Bitcoin’s price history, crypto has taken off again! In the first part of the year, BTC’s upward movement was slow, only to become more explosive at the beginning of autumn. 

At the beginning of 2023, the price of Bitcoin hovered around the $20,000 level, and 10 months later, in October, in the $25,000 area. Since then, however, everything has changed. What attracted interest in the sector were the spot ETFs on Bitcoin proposed by American investment funds, which were approved in January of this year and the approaching halving. 

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In short, the bull market began at the start of 2024, causing strong upward movements affecting several cryptos. Bitcoin reached a new all-time high at $73,000 in March, the hottest month so far.

We may only be at the beginning of this bullish market cycle, to the extent that it should prove similar to those of the past. What impact will the halving that just took place have on Bitcoin’s blockchain? There is no crystal ball, and therefore, no one can know with certainty the targets for the current phase of Bitcoin’s price history. Will the crypto manage to reach the historic $100,000 level?

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How to mine Bitcoin? Years ago an ordinary computer was enough, and today? 

How to mine Bitcoin? If you have known the crypto world for a while, you surely have asked yourself this question at least once. Mining is the process by which transactions are validated on Proof-of-Work blockchains, and thus also on Bitcoin‘s. Miners, through very complex calculations, create the network blocks and allow the network to function. And they receive rewards for their work.

Mining is also a competitive activity, as rewards are only given to the first miner to solve the mathematical problem. The amount of miners participating in the network influences the mining difficulty: a parameter that measures how difficult it is, on average, to validate a block. The difficulty also increases in relation to the power of the hardware. 

Now that you are clear on the big picture, find out how to mine Bitcoin and why it is getting harder!

Bitcoin mining: what does it take?

The answer to the question ‘how to mine Bitcoin’ has varied a lot over time. If we had asked a miner in 2010 he would have answered “with a normal computer and mining software”. 

The same question, in 2015, would have had a different answer. Back then, miners had already started using specially designed machines called ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits). And today? How do you mine Bitcoin in 2023?

• Hardware: in order to mine Bitcoin, it is necessary to start with hardware. From simple computers that were used years ago to sophisticated ASICs. There is a wide range of devices with which it has been possible to mine Bitcoin over time. Miners in the past used GPUs (video cards) because they had much more computing power than CPUs (processors) and were cheaper than ASICs. 

GPUs used to be connected in series, i.e. one in a row, and by doing so, their computing power added up. Today, however, even this method has become obsolete and it is not possible to mine Bitcoin unless you have an ASIC.

• Software: an aspiring miner must obtain or develop ad hoc software. This point is even more complex than the previous one because it requires, in most cases, a high degree of computer knowledge. Some mining devices already have software installed inside them to be configured, but in most cases, the ‘command prompt’ or ‘terminal’ must be used to activate them. That is, the black screen in which to write code that anyone who is not a computer scientist ‘accidentally’ opens on their computer from time to time.

• Crypto wallet: The last thing a miner must have is the crypto wallet on which to receive rewards for validated blocks. A user who is in the process of building their own mining business should definitely not neglect this point if they do not want to work for free! This is definitely the easiest part of the whole process. Usually miners, like crypto enthusiasts, prefer to use hardware wallets, which are more difficult to hack since they are not constantly connected to the network.

Mining is also a team game

To be able to compete with the large mining companies that have many ASICs synchronised with each other, the ‘smaller’ miners have learnt to play as a team. Thus, mining pools were born, organisations that enable them to coordinate and work together to find the correct hash in the shortest possible time. Thus, you can try to mine Bitcoin even if you only have one device; by participating in pools and sharing the prize with other participants. Unfortunately, however, it is not possible to know for sure whether or not you will be able to mine any blocks, and you need to buy at least one ASIC to be admitted to a mining pool.

Mining is increasingly difficult

The hardware that can solve the very difficult calculations and the large amount of electricity required to run them makes mining a very expensive business. Moreover, the difficulty grows over time as it tends to adapt to changes in the hashrate, i.e. the total computing power of the network. The latter takes into account the hardware and software characteristics of all the miners that are connected to the BTC network and is updated every fortnight. It is however positive that mining Bitcoin is becoming increasingly difficult, the more miners participate in block validation the more secure the blockchain is. 

Now that you know how to mine Bitcoin it is up to you to decide whether to start. However, if you have read this article carefully you may have realised that the game is probably not worth it (anymore). Unless you have access to a large amount of cheap electricity. There are, however, other less expensive ways to secure blockchains and obtain rewards, such as opening a node on a Proof-of-Stake network. You can take a cue from former Ethereum miners who have reinvented themselves since their blockchain changed consensus mechanism.

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When is the next Bitcoin halving scheduled? Things to know to prepare for the event!

Bitcoin’s next halving is scheduled for early 2024, when block number 840,000 will be mined. Why is this such an eagerly awaited event? What will happen next? Let’s try to shed some light and go over all the things we need to know about it.

Next Halving Bitcoin 2024: what is this operation for?

Halving is the internal mechanism within the Bitcoin system that regulates the gradual decrease in rewards given to miners who validate blocks. It serves to reduce the crypto in circulation, to maintain scarcity. Miners in fact receive a share of BTC every time they validate a block. Halving has been an element of BTC tokenomics since its creation and is managed by an algorithm. 

When the halving takes place and how the exact date is calculated

Bitcoin’s next halving is expected to arrive between March and May 2024, at block No. 210,000 starting from the previous halving, so at No. 840,000. It is an event that users might not notice as it does not alter the state of the blockchain in any way, only the miners notice it; but nevertheless all crypto enthusiasts await this moment with trepidation. The moment the last of the 210,000 blocks is validated, the issuance of BTC is halved. 

To calculate when the next halving of Bitcoin will take place, you need to multiply the number of blocks that need to be validated from one halving to the next (210,000) by the time it takes to do so, which is on average 10 minutes. Then you need to divide the resulting number by 60, which is the number of minutes that an hour consists of. Doing this quick calculation we find that about 35,000 hours pass from one halving to the next, plus or minus 1458 days or a little over four years. In order to know the exact date of the next halving in 2024, we need to look at what block number we are at day by day. 

These ‘halvings’ will not be infinite, they will cease when the maximum supply of Bitcoin, which amounts to 21 million BTC, is issued, presumably around the year 2140. This means that the cryptocurrency still faces about 30 halvings in 117 years.

How many rewards will there be after the 2024 halving?

Another key piece of information about halving has to do with the issuance of Bitcoin over time. Miners, at the time Bitcoin was created (January 2009), received 50 BTC for each validated block. The first halving took place in 2012 and halved the rewards to 25 BTC. The process was then repeated in 2016 and 2020 when the rewards per block became 6.25 Bitcoins. At the next halving in 2024 these will become 3.15 BTC.

On the Young Platform exchange you can follow the price of Bitcoin in real time and monitor the impact of the next halving.

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Halving and the price of Bitcoin 

As the issuance of this crypto is halved, Bitcoin becomes scarcer and scarcer and this indirectly has an impact on the price. In the months following the halving in 2012, the price increased by almost 12,000%, and after the halving in 2020 by about 300%. Of course, halving is not the only cause of these incredible bullish rallies in the past, but in general the price of Bitcoin has always responded positively to this recurring event.

Halving also affects Bitcoin’s inflation rate. In 2011, for example, BTC was subject to an annual inflation of 50%. In 2012 this became 12%, while today it stands at around 1.77%. One wonders at this point, where it will go after the next halving.
Although the latter is an automatic event, it does not go unnoticed but strongly influences the Bitcoin ecosystem and also the entire crypto world. A year after the expected process, we still find ourselves caught in the clutches of this seemingly endless bear market. Will the euphoria that grows as the next Bitcoin halving of 2024 approaches help the crypto market raise its head?

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Bitcoin ETFs and ETPs are becoming increasingly popular. But what are these financial instruments in short? What are their differences?

Before we look at what a Bitcoin ETF is and the difference with an ETP, let’s understand what a classic ETF or Exchange Traded Fund is. In short, it’s a financial product that closely replicates the performance of an index (called a benchmark); they are ‘packages’ containing stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate securities or derivative contracts of these instruments, in order to replicate their performance. ETFs are sold and bought like ordinary securities and are therefore considered more accessible and less expensive financial instruments than classic investment funds. Like all instruments listed on financial markets, their price can go down as well as up. In short, they can be considered as baskets of securities of different companies or entities that refer to a common ‘theme’, which can be the market of a geographical area or a sector. 

What is a Bitcoin ETF

According to this definition of ETFs, Bitcoin’s Exchange Traded Funds replicate the performance of BTC and assets related to Satoshi Nakamoto‘s crypto. In essence, they allow exposure to BTC without actually buying any cryptocurrency, which is why in most cases they appeal to those not used to dealing with cryptocurrency exchanges, wallets and private keys. 

On 8 June 2022, the first Bitcoin ETF was listed on the Italian stock exchange. While the first one ever, made by ProShares, was approved in 2021 by the SEC in the US. The launch in the US was quite successful for both retail and institutional investors.

At the moment, all Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds are based on futures, i.e. forward contracts that allocate a certain amount of the underlying asset, based on a predetermined delivery price and maturity, to the two parties that subscribe to them. In this system, one of the parties ‘bets’ on the price going up and the other on the price going down.

Are there any spot Bitcoin ETFs?

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are traded for immediate delivery: the order to buy or sell is immediately followed by the actual exchange of the asset for cash (as fiat currency). This kind of fund has not yet been put on the market, currently the company Grayscale is carrying out negotiations with the SEC to approve one, converting a mutual fund it already manages. Spot Exchange Traded Funds are more difficult to set up, and in order to issue them one has to meet a number of technical and regulatory requirements, especially with regard to the underlying asset, which in this case is the entire Bitcoin spot market. Any company issuing an ETF on the spot market will in fact have to own the bitcoins directly and hold them securely. In addition, it must be demonstrated to regulators that Exchange Traded Funds do not give rise to price manipulation in the relevant market.

Advantages and disadvantages of a Bitcoin ETF

As anticipated, the main advantage of these funds is that they allow anyone to enter the cryptocurrency market in a ‘traditional’ manner. In fact, they are easy for those who already operate with financial intermediaries. ETFs of this type are regulated instruments and therefore instil confidence in institutional investors (and retailers) and are used to diversify their investments. 

As for the disadvantages, due to management costs, buying them is less convenient than buying BTC directly on exchanges. Moreover, derivative-based ones do not reflect price changes instantaneously, so they may not accurately track market trends. You should also consider that exchange-traded funds are indirectly managed, which means that you do not have direct control over your money. This is why they are considered by many in the industry as a method used by central banks and classical finance to somehow influence the evolution and development of a currency that was designed and created to be totally decentralised.

The difference between ETFs and ETPs

Have you also heard of ETPs? Exchange traded products are a macro-category that brings together a number of financial products that replicate stock indices or other assets by following their performance in the reference market. ETFs are thus a subset of ETPs, along with ETNs (Exchange Traded Notes) and ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities). In a nutshell, ETNs and ETCs are not funds but debt notes, since by purchasing them one is in fact providing credit to a company. Furthermore, ETCs specifically track the price of physical commodities such as gold, silver, oil, sugar, or commodity derivatives. ETNs, on the other hand, reflect the performance of all other types of financial instruments. 

A new Bitcoin ETP on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange 

On 23 September 2022, a new Bitcoin-themed Exchange Traded Product was listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The ETP, which by definition consists of ETFs and ETNs, is issued by Valour, a company that offers financial products related to the Web3 sector, and is called ‘Bitcoin Carbon Neutral’. What is the special feature of this ETP? When you buy Valour’s BTC Carbon Neutral ETP, all carbon dioxide emissions related to the product will be automatically offset. These emissions include, for example, those due to mining consumption. 

We are proud to announce the debut of Valour Bitcoin Carbon Neutral Exchange Traded Product (ETP) on @boersefrankfurt!

Our first carbon neutral product offers investors low fee exposure to #Bitcoin simply, securely and sustainably. 👉https://t.co/6vo31blPO4 pic.twitter.com/mRr7Ys3prg

— Valour (@ValourGlobal) September 23, 2022

Concretely, the carbon-free plan will be implemented in cooperation with Patch, a platform offering solutions for companies that want to play their part in combating climate change. Patch at this juncture will select projects that prevent emissions and remove carbon dioxide related to BTC from the atmosphere. Valour also offers ETPs on Uniswap (UNI), Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL) and many other crypto projects. 

Another recently launched BTC-themed product is the 21 Shares Bitcoin ETP listed on July 2022. 

Bitcoin ETFs and ETPs are thus proving to be increasingly popular financial instruments, chosen by those who want to approach cryptocurrencies in a gradual way. 

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Crypto prices are dropping, but BTC is the most solid of them all. The community also fully supports it, let’s find out why!

Bitcoin’s price trend, historical data in hand, follows a 4-year cycle. The trend is marked by the halving event, which occurs precisely every 4 years. The Halving refers to the gradual halving of the BTC rewards that miners receive for their work. The event seems to coincide with the end of one of Bitcoin’s price cycles and the beginning of the next. In fact, since the creation of BTC, its price has followed a pattern where the halving is followed by 18-24 months of a bull market, which is subsequently followed by two years of bear market. Taking into consideration the timing of this theory, we are in the middle of a bear market. The next halving is expected to happen in 2024, when the supply of BTC will then change and consequently so will market behaviour. A bear market can be broken down into several phases, and understanding them can help us look in perspective at Bitcoin’s current market momentum. Discover Bitcoin’s 7 strengths in the face of dealing with a bear market!

Phases of a bear market

If we consider the previous bear market we went through, we can distinguish 7 phases:

1. The collapse: when the market collapses very quickly, for both Bitcoin and altcoins;
2. Rejection/denial: when there is a tendency to think that prices are only subject to one of the many usual declines;
3. Realisation: when you realise that you’re not faced with just a temporary market downturn. Often this realisation also comes from a broader observation of the macroeconomic context;
4. Panic: after a general realisation of what is happening, people panic and this perspective changes the market mentality. Any attempt at a rebound is eliminated by those who try to limit their losses by selling. At this stage, the rebounds are pushed by bitcoiners attracted to buying BTC at reduced prices;
5. Accumulation/stabilisation: although the majority of users panic, those who take a long-term view accumulate mainly ‘solid’ coins such as BTC rather than altcoins;
6. Anticipation: at this stage funds begin to return, Bitcoin is on the rise again. People are also start to buy medium market cap altcoins again;
7. Steady growth: the market is growing steadily again. There is a shift from extreme fear to neutral sentiment.

We are currently in the panic phase, number 4, where the Fear and Greed Index has the lowest values (extreme fear). The market is slowly trying to move into number 5, or stabilisation. Those who are fully immersed in panic mode find it difficult to perceive the build-up. It is not possible to precisely predict when the bear market will evolve into the next phase. However, if we compare BTC to other cryptos, we can see that although they are all falling, Bitcoin is the one that is dropping the least. While most altcoins are falling more than 90% from their ATH, Bitcoin’s decline is just under 70% from its ATH of $69,045.

The only certainty is that the next halving will be in early 2024 (this is determined by the algorithm), and the market equilibrium will then be upset again. Those who take a long-term view and are convinced of Bitcoin’s value beyond its mere price will continue to buy and hold. The foresight of bitcoiners begs the question: why does Bitcoin continue to be supported? Here are Bitcoin’s 7 strengths to face the bear market!

Bitcoin’s strengths: why bitcoiners don’t give up

Bitcoiners don’t panic. The bear market can sow all the panic it wants, but there are those who just won’t abandon Bitcoin. This is because the strengths and potential of Bitcoin go beyond its price. Bitcoin is in fact:

1. Open source: everyone can have access to and verify information processed by the blockchain, but above all, everyone can contribute to the development and improvement of the whole network;
2. Transparent: you don’t need to have blind trust in how it works. One of the slogans the BTC community is fond of is ‘don’t trust, verify’, precisely because everything is in front of your eyes, available and verifiable;
3. Neutral: it knows no politics and does not depend on any national or international legislation (at least as far as the functioning of its blockchain is concerned, mining for instance may be restricted);
4. Decentralised: the BTC network is composed of nodes scattered all over the world and no single company or person holds all the decision-making power;
5. Resistant to censorship: the only way to block Bitcoin is to block the internet (and we can only imagine what the consequences of disconnecting the whole world would be);
6. Secure: Bitcoin’s security is guaranteed by its Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism. The work of miners makes transactions secure and the decentralisation of nodes means that there is no interference;
7. Characterised by a winning monetary policy. Its scarcity and digital nature make Bitcoin an alternative to economic systems as we know them.

Will the next halving save us?

As always, the market mirrors many factors, most of which are unpredictable. The halving gives us hope for an improvement in Bitcoin’s performance because it has always had a positive impact in the past. However, the consequences of the last halving in May 2020 were also influenced by external elements such as the FED’s restrictive policy. In all this the stock-to-flow can be useful as a trend indicator but the future of BTC is all to be written!

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